{"id":21150,"date":"2020-05-29T22:38:00","date_gmt":"2020-05-29T22:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maapprogram.org\/brazil-deforest-fuegos\/"},"modified":"2024-09-19T16:32:36","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T16:32:36","slug":"brazil-deforest-fuegos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maapprogram.org\/es\/brazil-deforest-fuegos\/","title":{"rendered":"MAAP #119: Pronosticando los Fuegos del 2020 en la Amazon\u00eda Brasile\u00f1a"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/a>
Incendios de 2019 ardiendo en \u00e1reas recientemente deforestadas de la Amazon\u00eda brasile\u00f1a, no incendios forestales descontrolados. Datos: Planet; Analysis: MAAP.<\/div><\/div>\n

El a\u00f1o pasado, los incendios de la Amazon\u00eda brasile\u00f1a<\/strong> encabezaron los titulares internacionales.<\/p>\n

Al analizar un archivo de im\u00e1genes satelitales (de Planet Explorer<\/a>), descubrimos que muchos de los incendios estaban quemando \u00e1reas recientemente deforestadas<\/strong> y que no se trataba de incendios forestales descontrolados (MAAP #113<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Por ejemplo, documentamos que extensos incendios que cubrieron 298,000 hect\u00e1reas quemaron \u00e1reas que fueron deforestadas ese mismo a\u00f1o (2019<\/strong>).<\/p>\n

De este modo, podemos pronosticar d\u00f3nde es probable que se den los incendios del 2020<\/strong>, bas\u00e1ndonos en identificar las \u00e1reas m\u00e1s recientemente deforestadas de este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

A continuaci\u00f3n, ilustramos este proceso.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Pronosticando los incendios del 2020<\/strong><\/h3>\n

En el Mapa Base<\/strong>, los puntos amarillos indican los nuevos eventos de deforestaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s extensos, y d\u00f3nde pronosticamos la probable ubicaci\u00f3n de los incendios del 2020<\/strong>. Vea a continuaci\u00f3n ejemplos de im\u00e1genes satelitales (letras A-G.)<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Mapa Base. Datos: Grandes eventos de deforestaci\u00f3n 2020 (puntos amarillos) como predictores de eventos de incendios 2020. Data: Hansen\/UMD\/Google\/USGS\/NASA, UMD\/GLAD, RAISG, MAAP. Click to Enlarge.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Ejemplos de los Principales Eventos de Deforestaci\u00f3n del 2020<\/strong><\/h3>\n

A continuaci\u00f3n, una serie de im\u00e1genes mostrando los principales eventos de deforestaci\u00f3n del 2020 que identificamos como \u00e1reas potenciales para incendios (ea las letras A-G en el Mapa Base arriba para el contexto). Las flechas rojas<\/strong><\/span> apuntan a los principales eventos de deforestaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Zoom A (Mato Grosso)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El Zoom A muestra la deforestaci\u00f3n de 775 hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y mayo de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Mato Grosso.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom A. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Zoom B (Mato Grosso)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El Zoom B muestra la deforestaci\u00f3n de 205 hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y mayo de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Mato Grosso.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom B. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Zoom C (Mato Grosso)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El Zoom C muestra la deforestaci\u00f3n de 395 hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y mayo de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Mato Grosso.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom C. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Zoom D (Mato Grosso)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El Zoom D muestra la deforestaci\u00f3n de 300 hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y mayo de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Mato Grosso.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom D. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Zoom E (Rond\u00f4nia)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El Zoom E muestra la deforestaci\u00f3n de 840 hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y abril de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Rond\u00f4nia.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom E. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Zoom F (Amazonas)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Zoom F muestra la gran deforestaci\u00f3n de 2.4 mil hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y mayo de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Amazonas.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom F. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Zoom G (Par\u00e1)<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El Zoom G muestra la gran deforestaci\u00f3n de 6 mil\u00a0hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> entre enero (panel izquierdo) y mayo de 2020 (panel derecho), en el estado de Par\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Zoom G. Click para agrandar.<\/div><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n

Coordenadas<\/strong><\/h3>\n

World Eckert IV (<\/span>Decimal Degrees<\/span>) (X,Y)<\/span><\/p>\n

Zoom A: -54.862624, -11.971904
\nZoom B: -55.087026, -11.836788
\nZoom C: -56.999405, -11.979054
\nZoom D: -57.128192, -11.896948
\nZoom E: -62.658907, -8.477944
\nZoom F: -58.892358, -6.567775
\nZoom G: -54.948419, -7.853721<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Pron\u00f3stico 2020<\/strong><\/h3>\n

El pron\u00f3stico de condiciones de sequ\u00eda para la ocurrencia de incendios indica que para los meses de julio a septiembre de 2020 se prevee una temporada activa de incendios en la mayor parte en el oeste de la Amazon\u00eda, gran parte del centro y sur del Per\u00fa, el norte de Bolivia, as\u00ed como en los estados brasile\u00f1os de Acre y Rond\u00f4nia.<\/p>\n

Este pron\u00f3stico, indica una temporada activa de incendios de magnitud similar a las de los a\u00f1os 2005 y 2010, cuando se observaron 02 de las peores\u00a0temporadas de incendios en la regi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Ver: https:\/\/firecast.cast.uark.edu\/<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Agradecimientos<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Agradecemos a \u00a0J. Beavers, S. Novoa, K. Fernandes, y G. Palacios por sus \u00fatiles comentarios a este reporte.<\/p>\n

Este trabajo se realiz\u00f3 con el financiamiento de: NASA\/USAID (SERVIR), Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (NORAD), Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, International Conservation Fund of Canada (ICFC), Metabolic Studio, Erol Foundation, MacArthur Foundation, and Global Forest Watch Small Grants Fund (WRI).<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

*Notas<\/strong><\/h3>\n

DETER<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Cita<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Finer M, Mamani N (2020) Pronosticando los Fuegos del 2020 en la Amazon\u00eda Brasile\u00f1a. MAAP: 119.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El a\u00f1o pasado, los incendios de la Amazon\u00eda brasile\u00f1a encabezaron los titulares internacionales. Al analizar un archivo de im\u00e1genes satelitales (de Planet Explorer), descubrimos que muchos de los incendios estaban quemando \u00e1reas recientemente deforestadas y que no se trataba de incendios forestales descontrolados (MAAP #113). Por ejemplo, documentamos que extensos incendios que cubrieron 298,000 hect\u00e1reas […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[309,348],"tags":[218],"ftr_agriculture":[],"carbon-and-climate-change":[],"ftr_country":[449],"fire":[426],"infrastructure-threat":[],"land-use":[],"mining-and-logging-threat":[],"natural-forest-loss":[],"special-analysis":[],"class_list":["post-21150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fuego","category-paisesbrasil","tag-maap-119","ftr_country-brasil","fire-incendios"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMAAP #119: Pronosticando los Fuegos del 2020 en la Amazon\u00eda Brasile\u00f1a - MAAP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.maapprogram.org\/es\/brazil-deforest-fuegos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MAAP #119: Pronosticando los Fuegos del 2020 en la Amazon\u00eda Brasile\u00f1a - MAAP\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El a\u00f1o pasado, los incendios de la Amazon\u00eda brasile\u00f1a encabezaron los titulares internacionales. 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